A few mild days before we see a few storm systems head our way this week
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Good early Sunday morning, everyone. Our weekend has been kind to us so far and it’s something we’re certainly enjoying after we dealt with our last storm system during the middle of last week. After that system gave us freezing rain, sleet and snow on Thursday, we’re spending our weekend thawing out from any ice and melting off snow that we saw. With temperatures that climbed into the lower to middle 40s on Friday and back into the 50s on Saturday, it certainly is doing the trick. The setup below shows that with an incoming warm front from the west, we’ll trend even milder for today. However, the two cold fronts out to the west will eventually join up and come into play as we head into Monday and Tuesday.
In the short term, let’s keep things dry as we trend milder for our Sunday. With the warm front keeping the south wind going this morning and cranking it up a bit for the day ahead, that will take us from morning lows around 40 to temperatures back to 62 in Joplin. Outside of the Joplin Metro area, everyone will be fair game to go into the lower to middle 60s this afternoon.
On Monday, we’ll keep dry for a good portion of the day under mostly cloudy skies. Despite mostly cloudy skies, it will be quite a mild day ahead of the approaching cold front from the west and northwest. With the south and southwest wind still set to keep on up for Monday, we’ll have highs push into the lower 70s across the area. While the approaching cold front could allow for a few showers or t-storms late Monday afternoon, we’ll see our rain and t-storm chances pick up Monday evening and continue into early Tuesday morning. While some of the t-storms could be on the strong side, it still appears as though any severe weather concerns will stay mainly to our south and southeast across eastern Oklahoma and into a good portion of Arkansas. Not only will the front give us rain and t-storms, it will cause quite a drop in temperatures for Tuesday. After midnight highs in the lower 60s, we’ll have temperatures through the morning and into the 30s by Tuesday afternoon.
After a dry Tuesday afternoon and dry start to our Wednesday, an upper-level low near Vancouver will start to dig into the western parts of the United States. We’ll stay cold for Wednesday with highs in the upper 20s. The upper-level low will send energy our way and allow for some scattered snow and sleet showers to develop for parts of the area in the afternoon.
Like Doug mentioned in the previous blog, the wave starts strong but weakens as it moves into the Plains on Thursday. Even so, moisture and dynamics will keep a chance for freezing rain, sleet and snow across a good portion of the area for Thursday. Plus, it will stay cold with temperatures in the 20s all day. We still have plenty of time to watch this system and adjust if any changes are necessary. We’ll keep you updated on this.
Once that system clears out Thursday night, we’ll have partly sunny skies return for Friday. With us still on the colder side of the jet, we’ll have highs top out around 30 across the area.
Sticking with Doug’s pattern, there will be a chance for another system to come at us next weekend. That could come in the form of rain chances on Saturday and a possible wintry mix for Sunday. We’ll take these systems one at a time and make sure you stay ahead and informed about what’s coming as we go through this week. Doug has you covered with the rest of the long range forecast through the middle of March down below. Have a great Sunday!
Nick
Next Friday and Saturday: Snow chances early Friday and staying cool into the weekend.
Feb 27th-March 5th: Cool start with rain and snow chances on Sunday. Next system in Wednesday and Thursday with pretty good chances for rain and snow again.
March 6th-12th: Rain and snow chances on Sunday and Monday. Then much colder the rest of the week. Rain or snow chances returning by Friday.
March 13th-19th: A cool start but most of the week will be mild. Thunderstorms chances increasing by the weekend.
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